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Economy

Brexit failure in sight

Brexit failure

In the final months of the Second World War, Winston Churchill’s desire to launch dangerous military adventures in the far-flung reaches of the Empire caused the head of the Military, Field Marshall Sir Alan Brooke to remark that “before you plant your right foot somewhere you ought first to know …

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Where are the robots?

Automation

Peak oil demand was the big story last year – at least until the oil price rose above $60 a barrel and we all woke up.  The idea was that a brave new world of automated technologies powered by renewable energy was just around the corner.  There was even concern …

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The age of intermittency

Intermittency

Physicist David Korowicz once posed this thought experiment: imagine that all of the computer chips made since the financial crash of 2008 had some flaw that caused them to suddenly stop working.  Could we simply go back to the conditions of 2008? The answer, of course, is that if all …

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OBR is wrong… things are much worse

Black Swans

The big announcement in yesterday’s budget was not the cut to stamp duty, additional funds for Universal Credit or some extra cash for the NHS.  The real showstopper was the announcement that the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) had downgraded its growth forecast for 2017 from 2 percent to just …

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The other side of Neoliberalism

Other side of Neoliberalism

Nobody can doubt the web of contradictions that beset the UK economy.  The stock market is at an all-time high; house prices are booming; unemployment is at a low last seen in the early 1970s; more people are in work than ever before.  And yet we have seen the longest …

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The cost of living increase is energy

Cost of Living

Increased gas and electricity prices account for almost the entire rise in the UK cost of living since 1997 according to Patrick Collinson in the Guardian: “The average rise in prices for a basket of goods between 1997 and 2016 was 50.7%, but utility bills went up by 139% – …

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A tale of two economies

Tale of two economies

In the years since the Great Financial Accident of 2008 it has become common to talk about something called “the real economy.”  In doing so we unconsciously acknowledge that something has gone terribly wrong with the way our society has developed over the past four decades. Go back to the …

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UK economy is almost over

British economy almost over

One of the biggest errors made by economists and politicians is the belief that inflation is the same thing as rising prices.  Indeed, most of us have been taught that rising prices are precisely what inflation is.  This, however, is to mistake the symptom for the disease.  Everyone who has …

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Beer and the real economy

Falling beer sales

Forget the macroeconomics; sometimes it is the small changes that people make to their lifestyles that tell us the most about the health of the economy.  In December last year, for example, we reported on the fall in shampoo sales that followed a significant shift in people’s personal hygiene habits.  …

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Bahrain on the edge of collapse

Rory

The Gulf Kingdom of Bahrain may be the first to succumb to the economic consequences of low oil prices according to Bloomberg: “Bahrain, one of the most vulnerable economies in the Gulf Cooperation Council to political instability and oil-price swings, sought financial support from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab …

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